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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | errormargin | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | 54% (199–170, n=369) | 52% (6491–6080, n=12571) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $46K | $3.7M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #804 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (244 of 357 open) | 73% (56 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 93% of 255 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 4% (won 56% of 9) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 20% (won 86% of 51) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 47% (won 95% of 120) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 29% (won 99% of 75) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | errormargin | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ducks vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Flames | Flames $87K | — | Ducks $60 | — |
| Celtics vs. Hornets opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Hornets $604 | — | Celtics $49K | — |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $30K | — | Mavericks $817 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13K | — | Under $240 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | — | No $494 | — |
| Raptors vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $1.8K | — | Raptors $4.5K | — |
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $514 | — | Over $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Mavericks $56 | — | Jazz $174 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $11 | — | Raptors $63 | — |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus T1 | T1 $368K | — | T1 $38 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | — | Grizzlies $1.1K | — |