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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4FlaznorpWagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)no settled market52% (6520–6024, n=12544)95% (13512–644, n=14156)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$3.5M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #68—PM monthly #23PM monthly #936
Sides with the consensus68% (15 of 22 open)no open consensus position69% (279 of 407 open)65% (11 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6828, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 6828 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 72% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—16% (won 40% of 255)9% (won 91% of 624)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—16% (won 62% of 260)11% (won 97% of 758)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—39% (won 94% of 637)76% (won 100% of 5207)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4FlaznorpWagerWizard
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $3.3KNo $22
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $25K——Yes $16
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $7.2K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $49—
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $4.7KYes $224
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.8KNo $14
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.0KOver $3
FK Crvena zvezda leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $36
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $4
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $992Over $110
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $384Yes $10
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $351Yes $16
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $299Over $50
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $36Over $101
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $3.0K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773—No $22K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $19K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29—No $11K—
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)
same side · consensus AC Sparta Praha
——AC Sparta Praha $2.3KAC Sparta Praha $23
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
Julia Riera $870—Julia Riera $1.3K—
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)
same side · consensus SC Freiburg
——SC Freiburg $562SC Freiburg $113