Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
23
Under 63%
$843.7
$140.3
Smart Money Signal
11 of 23 top traders (48%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $286.9 | $287.19 | +$0.29 | 34% 19214-36845 (56059) |
WA WagerWizard | Overavg 96.1Β’ | $160.16 | $166.6 | +$6.44 | 84% 14866-2869 (17735) |
LU LuckyLoo | Overavg 36.9Β’ | $75.64 | $128.44 | +$52.8 | 49% 14716-15388 (30104) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 83.2Β’ | $105.2 | $126.38 | +$21.18 | 50% 28445-28348 (56793) |
![]() RN1CTR | Underavg 29.3Β’ | $97.89 | $114.7 | +$16.81 | 53% 61386-53697 (115083) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Overavg 86.6Β’ | $12.76 | $14.73 | +$1.97 | 74% 1900-652 (2552) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 60Β’ | $4.7 | $5.66 | +$0.96 | 47% 11740-13459 (25199) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 48.2Β’ | $3.9K | β | -$92.22 | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Underavg 70.1Β’ | $11.19 | β | -$11.19 | 50% 21199-21466 (42665) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Overavg 92.9Β’ | $95.56 | β | +$7.35 | 53% 23594-20788 (44382) |
![]() 0xheavy888 | Overavg 84Β’ | $168 | β | +$32 | 56% 7922-6326 (14248) |
DA dashattackerCTR<$100 | Underavg 77.9Β’ | $11.13 | β | -$11.13 | 73% 2977-1118 (4095) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 21.4Β’ | $10.07 | β | -$10.07 | 53% 1439-1280 (2719) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 18.7Β’ | $46.85 | β | -$46.85 | 51% 1392-1360 (2752) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 13.6Β’ | $1.36 | β | -$1.36 | 50% 1337-1318 (2655) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 21.8Β’ | $37.52 | β | -$37.52 | 52% 1388-1305 (2693) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Underavg 49.2Β’ | $10.26 | β | -$10.26 | 66% 24278-12377 (36655) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Underavg 31Β’ | $35.62 | β | +$31.43 | 54% 9742-8135 (17877) |
![]() 6kke1tCTR<$100 | Underavg 3Β’ | $0.19 | β | +$2.77 | 46% 895-1048 (1943) |
DI dips.<$100 | Overavg 75Β’ | $27.74 | β | +$9.26 | 47% 10635-12160 (22795) |
PV pvc975<$100 | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $90.32 | β | +$0.09 | 98% 17926-370 (18296) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 58.9Β’ | $240.8 | β | +$168.15 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Overavg 79Β’ | $35.55 | β | +$9.4 | 82% 7353-1620 (8973) |
Invested
$286.9
Value
$287.19
PnL
+$0.29
Record
34%
19214-36845 (56059)
Invested
$160.16
Value
$166.6
PnL
+$6.44
Record
84%
14866-2869 (17735)
Invested
$75.64
Value
$128.44
PnL
+$52.8
Record
49%
14716-15388 (30104)
Invested
$105.2
Value
$126.38
PnL
+$21.18
Record
50%
28445-28348 (56793)
RN1CTRInvested
$97.89
Value
$114.7
PnL
+$16.81
Record
53%
61386-53697 (115083)
Invested
$12.76
Value
$14.73
PnL
+$1.97
Record
74%
1900-652 (2552)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5.66
PnL
+$0.96
Record
47%
11740-13459 (25199)
Invested
$3,929.85
Value
β
PnL
-$92.22
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
Invested
$11.19
Value
β
PnL
-$11.19
Record
50%
21199-21466 (42665)
Invested
$95.56
Value
β
PnL
+$7.35
Record
53%
23594-20788 (44382)
0xheavy888Invested
$168
Value
β
PnL
+$32
Record
56%
7922-6326 (14248)
Invested
$11.13
Value
β
PnL
-$11.13
Record
73%
2977-1118 (4095)
Invested
$10.07
Value
β
PnL
-$10.07
Record
53%
1439-1280 (2719)
Invested
$46.85
Value
β
PnL
-$46.85
Record
51%
1392-1360 (2752)
Invested
$1.36
Value
β
PnL
-$1.36
Record
50%
1337-1318 (2655)
Invested
$37.52
Value
β
PnL
-$37.52
Record
52%
1388-1305 (2693)
Invested
$10.26
Value
β
PnL
-$10.26
Record
66%
24278-12377 (36655)
Invested
$35.62
Value
β
PnL
+$31.43
Record
54%
9742-8135 (17877)
6kke1tCTR<$100Invested
$0.19
Value
β
PnL
+$2.77
Record
46%
895-1048 (1943)
Invested
$27.74
Value
β
PnL
+$9.26
Record
47%
10635-12160 (22795)
Invested
$90.32
Value
β
PnL
+$0.09
Record
98%
17926-370 (18296)
Invested
$240.8
Value
β
PnL
+$168.15
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$35.55
Value
β
PnL
+$9.4
Record
82%
7353-1620 (8973)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
xtxpleasecallme
Over β $287.19
WagerWizard
Over β $166.6
LuckyLoo
Over β $128.44
GoalLineGhost
Over β $126.38

RN1
CTRUnder β $114.7
Rocky31
Over β $14.73
topdogbigboi
Over β $5.66
Flaznorp
CTRUnder β $0
omnibus-076daa
CTRUnder β $0
cigarettes
Over β $0