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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

beachboy4: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankMulticoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)41% (616–869, n=1485)47% (452–501, n=953)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$8.4M$519K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #1PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus46% (12 of 26 open)89% (33 of 37 open)53% (10 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 411 at avg 52¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)1% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)36% (won 98% of 212)47% (won 100% of 194)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)35% (won 100% of 205)47% (won 100% of 194)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankMulticoloured-Serf
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $139KVikings $3.0K
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $35—Over $37K
Lakers vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $21KHawks $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $24K—
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $16KVikings $899
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $23No $37K—
Wizards vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.6K—Pistons $8.0K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K—