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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 47% (452–501, n=953) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | $519K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 89% (33 of 37 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 411 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 47% (won 100% of 194) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 47% (won 100% of 194) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 19) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $139K | Vikings $3.0K | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $35 | — | Over $37K | — |
| Lakers vs. Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $21K | Hawks $7.2K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $16K | Vikings $899 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $3.9K | — | Pistons $8.0K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |