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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | hqb.prediction | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 54% (208–178, n=386) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$253K | $230K | $3 | $8 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #707 | PM monthly #146 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (17 of 36 open) | 66% (113 of 170 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — | 100% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | hqb.prediction | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $292 | Under $37K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $40 | Cavaliers $26K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Bulls $2.5K | Spurs $9.3K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $9.7K | — | — |
| Rangers vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $1.1K | Flames $4.9K | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $7 | Nuggets $5.1K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $270 | Pelicans $3.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $87K | Magic $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $13K | Raptors $26K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | Raptors $15K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $8.3K | Bulls $10K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.8K | Lakers $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $3.2K | Bucks $11K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $96 | Vikings $6.3K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $162 | Thunder $4.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Bulls $557 | Bulls $2.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $31 | Cavaliers $2.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $9 | Sacramento State $1.8K | — | — |