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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorplastminwinRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4537–3326, n=7863)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)56% (14–11, n=25)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.6M$270K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #102PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)75% (237 of 316 open)70% (40 of 57 open)50% (75 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)33% (won 20% of 5)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 100% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)20% (won 100% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)27% (won 100% of 4)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

55 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorplastminwinRN1
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $12KOver $1.2K—Under $9
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $8.4K—No $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $107K——Taylor Fritz $24K
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $16K—Yes $49
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $238——
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $9.9K—Over $5
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7.6K——Under $25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $494——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.1K——No $3.7K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.8K—Over $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.7K—No $877
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $194——No $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $20
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $28
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $8
VVV Venlo vs. Jong PSV Eindhoven: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $1
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Over $43
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $975—Over $126
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $910—Under $1
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48—Over $727
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $250—Under $464
Will Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548—Yes $142
Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $676—Yes $6
Dijon Football Côte d'Or vs. Red Star FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $622—Over $42
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $211—No $436
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $430—No $210
SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $599—Over $11
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
—Facundo Acosta $558—Marco Cecchinato $9
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sevilla FC
—Sevilla FC $493—Deportivo Alavés $2
Dijon Football Côte d'Or vs. Red Star FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $469—Over $16
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $369—Yes $5
Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Roda JC Kerkrade
—Roda JC Kerkrade $92—Heracles Almelo $265
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $114—Over $35
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $104—Yes $30
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Spread: SK Rapid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Rapid
—Wolfsberger AC $16—SK Rapid $25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $177K—No $32K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53K—Yes $26K—
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $17K—Yes $14K
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Coventry City FC
—Everton FC $16K—Everton FC $995
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $13K—No $3.9K