Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorplalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3295, n=7816)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)34% (10–19, n=29)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M-$354K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #196PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)71% (181 of 256 open)no open consensus position60% (18 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 9 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)0%10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)33% (won 100% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)67% (won 100% of 6)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorplalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $150Ben Shelton $8.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
W75 Petange: Lisa Zaar vs Lea Nilsson
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Zaar
—Lea Nilsson $23—Lisa Zaar $3.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Lorenzo Musetti $444—Luca Van Assche $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $3—Jurij Rodionov $11
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $22K—Anastasia Zakharova $17K
Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $20—Noma Noha Akugue $23K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $5.1K—Sumit Nagal $3.7K
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $3.6KRider Broncs $175——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42