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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (266–304, n=570)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$5.3M-$145K
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #20
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)75% (121 of 162 open)no open consensus position56% (14 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $268KDplus KIA $25——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $145—Yes $14
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $29K—SE Palmeiras $1.7K
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4KAlice Tubello $4.6K——
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2K——Ravens $13
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Heat $125
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $438—Over $28
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $79—Heat $143
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4—Under $66