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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpgoogleplayNM-P
Record (consensus markets)50% (36–36, n=72)74% (426–151, n=577)40% (2–3, n=5)52% (27–25, n=52)
Consensus PnL-$384K$47K$391K-$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #35PM monthly #20PM monthly #15PM monthly #332
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)71% (54 of 76 open)no open consensus position67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • Tennis +62 pts n=51, ROI +53%
  • NFL +49 pts n=63, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +45 pts n=211, ROI +31%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 409 at avg 52¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)0%9% (won 100% of 38)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)19% (won 70% of 10)39% (won 100% of 161)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)76% (won 85% of 41)36% (won 100% of 149)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)6% (won 100% of 3)15% (won 100% of 61)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpgoogleplayNM-P
CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $10KUnder $747——
Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $337—Yes $351
Will Albania win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $395—Yes $239
Will Türkiye vs. Belgium end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $98—No $262
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $551—Heat $385
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
—No $450—No $239
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $15—No $267
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Heat $70—Heat $14