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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CUTJALENHURTSndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$634K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #57PM monthly #148PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (12 of 20 open)60% (84 of 139 open)74% (34 of 46 open)66% (166 of 251 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Golf −2 pts, n=108NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 19% of 1341)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 46% of 3607)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 61% of 3523)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)17% (won 86% of 1699)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CUTJALENHURTSndb1RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Alex Michelsen $3.9KAlex Michelsen $46—Carlos Alcaraz $9.9K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86KNo $17K—No $4.3K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $74KYes $10K——
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K——Carole Monnet $9.0K
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $626Yes $420—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357——Under $278
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $65Yes $529—
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1Yes $160—
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1Yes $121—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $286Yes $62K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $22K——Matteo Berrettini $14K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $5.3K
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $6—
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $275No $2.4K—
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $700Yes $3—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251——Under $379
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1Yes $454—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $26No $5—