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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankrayvanmechelenUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)45% (573–710, n=1283)53% (2442–2137, n=4579)50% (20538–20353, n=40891)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$9.4M$20K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #3was PM monthly #981PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)71% (24 of 34 open)62% (44 of 71 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)2% (won 95% of 22)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)32% (won 98% of 321)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)51% (won 98% of 507)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)14% (won 98% of 138)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankrayvanmechelenUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $307No $15K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $78K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep Sonmez $15K—Mika Stojsavljevic $10—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $11Yes $757
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Polissia
——FK Kolos Kovalivka $15FK Polissia $270
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
——SD Eibar $6CD Pamplona $6
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8Yes $2
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $56No $88K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $10—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $1.0K——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2Over $54
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $18Over $10
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $3Under $4