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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | S-Works | Sniper85 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) | 63% (5–3, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $7.7M | $3.7M | $27K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #73 | was PM monthly #931 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (15 of 32 open) | 80% (43 of 54 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5 at avg 62¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 40% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 40% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | S-Works | Sniper85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $448K | No $300K | — | — |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $432K | Yes $197K | — | — |
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Texans $153K | Chargers $294K | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Texans $23K | Chargers $100K | — | — |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $61K | Yes $13K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $19K | — | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | Colts $15K | Colts $59K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $18 | No $29K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.7K | Over $13K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |