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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankRN1zwaaan
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)53% (123–110, n=233)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$14.8M$571
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensus61% (14 of 23 open)86% (24 of 28 open)63% (125 of 197 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Crypto −5 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%53% of 135 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2593)21% (won 3% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5682)19% (won 19% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 99% of 9181)28% (won 76% of 38)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8519)31% (won 88% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankRN1zwaaan
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $48K——
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $5.0K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $211K—Yes $11K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $119K—Taylor Fritz $29K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $58—
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $106—No $8.0K—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $870—Julia Riera $7.1K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29—No $1.9K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $213—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $40——Yes $11