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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCryptoScam
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)41% (589–853, n=1442)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.2M$7.7M—
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #2PM monthly #94
Sides with the consensus59% (24 of 41 open)80% (40 of 50 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)—
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)36% (won 98% of 212)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)35% (won 100% of 205)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)20% (won 100% of 116)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCryptoScam
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $18KUnder $219K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $69KGiants $120K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $16K—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $333KNo $632K—
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Giants
Giants $282KGiants $179K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $22KGiants $64K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21KChiefs $21K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $20No $32K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K—