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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | CryptoScam | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | no settled market | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $7.7M | — | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #75 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (21 of 37 open) | 80% (39 of 49 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | — | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | — | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | — | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | — | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | — | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | CryptoScam | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $18K | Under $219K | — | — |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $69K | Giants $124K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $16K | — | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles same side · consensus Giants | Giants $282K | Giants $179K | — | — |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Giants $22K | Giants $65K | — | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $21K | Chiefs $21K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $20 | No $32K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |