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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCryptoScamprimm
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)41% (589–853, n=1442)57% (8–6, n=14)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$7.7M-$519K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #1PM monthly #90PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus65% (22 of 34 open)81% (29 of 36 open)0% (0 of 1 open)85% (11 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)36% (won 98% of 212)—41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)35% (won 100% of 205)—49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)20% (won 100% of 116)—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCryptoScamprimm
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Bears $74K——Buccaneers $3.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $22K——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3K—Over $16K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $96—Buccaneers $407
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $71KBears $12K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $18No $29K——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12——Over $12K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——