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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | CryptoScam | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4945–4167, n=9112) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 34% (157–310, n=467) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | -$536K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 57% (16 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Soccer −2 pts, n=283 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 51% of 463 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 9% (won 14% of 42) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 40% (won 40% of 183) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 37% (won 58% of 172) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 14% (won 83% of 66) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | CryptoScam | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $26K | — | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie | James Duckworth $972 | — | — | Cameron Norrie $19K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $22 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.3K | — | — |