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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465328.400.fundgoogleplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (43–56, n=99)100% (1–0, n=1)33% (2–4, n=6)67% (383–189, n=572)
Consensus PnL-$536K$301$320K-$126K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #100PM monthly #19PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)50% (2 of 4 open)33% (1 of 3 open)62% (86 of 139 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%67% of 3 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)33% (won 0% of 1)0%1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)0%19% (won 70% of 10)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)0%76% (won 85% of 41)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)67% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 3)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465328.400.fundgoogleplayRN1
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $169K—Kings $58K—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Thunder $109K—Trail Blazers $52K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $89KOver $354
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $10K——Heat $804
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $4.8K——Magic $998
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $15——Heat $615
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $6——Heat $375
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $49K——Heat $15K
Clippers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $1.7K——Suns $11K
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $11K——Kings $839
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $7.5K——Suns $528
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $46——Under $305