PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
teardropsaidmynamesainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12150–12996, n=25146)49% (839–863, n=1702)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #980was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #142
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position61% (28 of 46 open)68% (13 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +45 pts n=399, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +45 pts n=10, ROI +31%
  • NBA +41 pts n=13, ROI +42%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 429 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 795 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 82% of 11)0%10% (won 56% of 2478)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 95% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5361)41% (won 99% of 325)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 100% of 277)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8705)49% (won 99% of 390)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 8)0%31% (won 100% of 7425)5% (won 100% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketteardropsaidmynamesainttroplayRN1primm
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.6KOver $4.1K
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas
opposite sides · consensus North Texas
——North Texas $3.0KFlorida Atlantic $1.8K
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Panthers $1.4KPackers $1.2K
Spread: James Madison (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $2.5KTroy $4
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 56.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $295Over $1.6K
Spread: Packers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Panthers $13Packers $235
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 71.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $784Over $5.7K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Packers $6.0KPackers $298
Spread: North Texas (-17.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——North Texas $1.6KNorth Texas $1.9K
Spread: North Texas (-13.5)
same side · consensus North Texas
——North Texas $2.6KNorth Texas $16