PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (13586–13713, n=27299)48% (12103–12931, n=25034)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (19 of 31 open)71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2252)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 94% of 4102)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3425)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daaRN1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Vitality
Natus Vincere $2.6KVitality $28K
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus BIG
Eternal Fire $11KBIG $16K
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Natus Vincere
Vitality $50Natus Vincere $5.5K
W75 Poitiers: Francesca Curmi vs Clara Vlasselaer
opposite sides · consensus Clara Vlasselaer
Francesca Curmi $1.9KClara Vlasselaer $3.5K
W35 Malta: Pia Lovric vs Antonina Sushkova
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Pia Lovric $44Antonina Sushkova $1
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
same side · consensus Eternal Fire
Eternal Fire $119Eternal Fire $17K
W75 Glasgow: Amelia Rajecki vs Ella Seidel
same side · consensus Ella Seidel
Ella Seidel $667Ella Seidel $1.5K