PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daaRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (13588–13717, n=27305)48% (12104–12931, n=25035)45% (514–627, n=1141)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$13.4M$10.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (20 of 30 open)71% (5 of 7 open)69% (27 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 56% of 2478)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2252)22% (won 94% of 5361)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 94% of 4102)36% (won 99% of 8705)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3425)31% (won 100% of 7425)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daaRN1BreakTheBank
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Vitality
Natus Vincere $57KVitality $94K—
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Eternal Fire
Eternal Fire $11KBIG $7.4K—
W75 Glasgow: Amelia Rajecki vs Ella Seidel
same side · consensus Ella Seidel
Ella Seidel $1.1KElla Seidel $2.1K—