Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.0M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #149PM monthly #55PM monthly #52PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (34 of 46 open)54% (102 of 189 open)no open consensus position62% (105 of 169 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
—Rinky Hijikata $25K—Novak Djokovic $30K
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Monzon
—Franco Agamenone $157—Ignacio Monzon $9.9K
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
—Real Madrid CF $123—AEK $5.5K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $96
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Robert Guna
—Robert Guna $24—Tomas Curras Abasolo $1.1K
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Eric Vanshelboim $653—Ignacio Parisca $296
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68—No $677
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $622
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $109—Under $157
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $134—Marie Weckerle $55
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $1.2K—Daniil Medvedev $36K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $786—Over $7.9K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $100—Under $6.8K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $104—Under $4.0K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Karen Khachanov $157—Karen Khachanov $3.5K
Cali: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Luisina Giovannini
same side · consensus Luisina Giovannini
—Luisina Giovannini $116—Luisina Giovannini $1.8K
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $63
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
—Carole Monnet $202—Carole Monnet $2
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $33—Yes $101
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
—Juan Manuel La Serna $36—Juan Manuel La Serna $13