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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RayGuy | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 76% (25–8, n=33) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $12K | $14.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #603 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (108 of 149 open) | 75% (490 of 652 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 64% (44 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 33 at avg 77¢, ROI +18% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 50% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 3% (won 0% of 1) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 88% (won 100% of 29) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RayGuy | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $6 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Over $27 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 |
| Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | No $372 | — | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $4.2K | Browns $65 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $872 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $1.6K | Falcons $27 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |