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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | Pan9X | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 65% (4228–2241, n=6469) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $21K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (55 of 76 open) | 59% (132 of 225 open) | 71% (17 of 24 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 4% (won 100% of 43) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 13% (won 100% of 156) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 26% (won 100% of 310) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 58% (won 100% of 703) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | Pan9X | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $194 | Nevada $7.4K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nevada | — | New Mexico $34 | Nevada $1.3K |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $123 | Under $508 |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | East Carolina $19 | South Florida $324 |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | SMU $123 | Virginia Tech $189 |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | East Carolina $128 | South Florida $39 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nevada | — | New Mexico $9 | Nevada $9 |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $258 | SMU $32K |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $177 | SMU $2.8K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $49 | Nebraska $2.1K |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 67.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | Under $718 |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $29 | Under $71 |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $55 | Over $31 |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $19 | SMU $3 |