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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Nevada — but New Mexico won instead.
Spread: New Mexico (-6.5)
Resolved New Mexico. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Nevada. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Nevada 60%
Total Value
$63.43
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Nevada
6 of 10 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
New Mexico100%
Nevada0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0d0ae759...f166c9
Slug
cfb-nmx-nevada-2026-11-06-spread-away-6pt5