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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1Pan9XprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–578, n=1571)65% (4367–2318, n=6685)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)50% (20622–20404, n=41026)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$23K$3.6M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #97was PM monthly #979PM monthly #50PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus70% (55 of 79 open)44% (30 of 68 open)75% (3 of 4 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)41% (won 99% of 421)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)49% (won 99% of 508)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1Pan9XprimmUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $52—Under $7.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $81—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $154—Under $595
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13—Under $378
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $30—Yes $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $52—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $247—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $85—Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $105—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2—Under $1.4K
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $64