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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1Pan9XprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (992–576, n=1568)65% (4198–2222, n=6420)50% (1114–1128, n=2242)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #92PM monthly #981PM monthly #50PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (51 of 73 open)60% (29 of 48 open)no open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1Pan9XprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $53—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105—Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $112—No $529
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $52—Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $81—Yes $7