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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lopezmartinndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (886–468, n=1354)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #539PM monthly #145PM monthly #56PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)73% (33 of 45 open)55% (104 of 188 open)67% (113 of 168 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 25% of 4)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 33% of 3)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 60% of 5)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketlopezmartinndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
——Luca Van Assche $59Learner Tien $16K
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Artur Kukasian vs Koray Kirci
opposite sides · consensus Koray Kirci
Artur Kukasian $3.2K—Koray Kirci $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
——Franziska Sziedat $213Martyna Kubka $2.4K
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
——Alexandre Aubriot $2.5KHenri Haupt $54
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
——Isabella Shinikova $4Gina Feistel $1.7K
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
——Eric Vanshelboim $663Ignacio Parisca $302
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
——Robert Guna $24Tomas Curras Abasolo $929
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $663
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
——Bruno Pujol Navarro $67Iliyan Radulov $612
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
——Aren Baybars $2Leonid Sheyngezikht $384
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
——Lisa Pigato $46Gaia Maduzzi $56
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
——Michael Wright $3Jeremy Gschwendtner $56
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $10KLorenzo Musetti $53K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
same side · consensus Alex de Minaur
——Alex de Minaur $1.3KAlex de Minaur $16K
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $14KYes $402
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $29Over $7.8K
Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.2KYes $458
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
——Deborah Chiesa $18Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
——Jeline Vandromme $96Jeline Vandromme $679
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
same side · consensus Pia Lovric
——Pia Lovric $37Pia Lovric $250