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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18xutuu
Record (consensus markets)48% (483–517, n=1000)55% (372–304, n=676)63% (48–28, n=76)83% (20–4, n=24)
Consensus PnL$455K$436K$1.0M$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #89PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #897
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)51% (37 of 73 open)60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)—
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18xutuu
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—Spirit $398MOUZ $118K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $95K—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
Hurricanes $33KKraken $57——
Houston vs. Colorado
opposite sides · consensus Colorado
Houston $5.7KColorado $2.5K——
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $3.6KHouston $547——
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $871Houston $3.0K——
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.4KUnder $202——
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
—Team Falcons $985Team Falcons $135K—
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $241Gen.G $43K—
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
Houston $31Houston $4.4K——