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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplayHomeRunHazardsuntori
Record (consensus markets)50% (5–5, n=10)54% (208–178, n=386)no settled market
Consensus PnL$430K$230K—
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #7was PM monthly #792
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)67% (111 of 166 open)40% (21 of 52 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢0%1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)—
Entries 50–70¢80% (won 100% of 4)57% (won 100% of 55)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%10% (won 100% of 10)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketgoogleplayHomeRunHazardsuntori
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nuggets $22KGrizzlies $7
Warriors vs. Rockets
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $18KWarriors $1.1K
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $71Over $5
Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13Under $49
Lakers vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $14KLakers $3.5K
Spurs vs. Bulls
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $9.3KSpurs $5.3K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.3KOver $216
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KOver $14
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Magic $239Magic $2
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Magic $22Magic $56