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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | suntori | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (61–40, n=101) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (304–264, n=568) | 59% (553–389, n=942) |
| Consensus PnL | $172K | $423K | $309K | -$33K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #61 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #792 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 77% (49 of 64 open) | 42% (96 of 227 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −6 pts, n=411 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 41% of 953 at avg 44¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 2) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 7% of 308) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 6) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 24% (won 30% of 225) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 63% (won 100% of 37) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 24% (won 57% of 231) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 14) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 20% (won 90% of 189) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | suntori |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $66 | Mavericks $11 |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.3K | Under $54 |
| Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.5K | Over $50 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | — | — | Pistons $1.2K | Pistons $301 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-10.5) same side · consensus UTEP | — | — | UTEP $980 | UTEP $53 |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $313 | 76ers $3 |