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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)43% (11756–15327, n=27083)64% (1102–633, n=1735)48% (19552–21306, n=40858)83% (2421–482, n=2903)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$4.6M$14.9M$95K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)73% (71 of 97 open)61% (17 of 28 open)79% (83 of 105 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1Robbb
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $24K—Yes $635
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $15—Yes $665
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $510—Yes $124
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7—Yes $211
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $350K—No $470
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $46K—Janice Tjen $84K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $12K—Yes $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $44—Yes $696
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $473—No $241
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $443—No $261
Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $496—No $158
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $505—Yes $32
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11—Yes $503
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $290—No $119
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $6—Yes $2