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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)43% (10–13, n=23)64% (1101–632, n=1733)83% (2418–482, n=2900)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.2M$4.6M$96K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #109was PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)no open consensus position73% (77 of 105 open)78% (85 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1Robbb
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $24KYes $630
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $14Yes $676
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $555Yes $69
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8Yes $230
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $350KNo $468
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $12KYes $1.0K
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.0KNo $20
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $46Yes $1.1K
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
——No $473No $279
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
——No $443No $265
Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
——No $496No $160
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $12Yes $571
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $505Yes $33
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
——No $304No $124
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $73Yes $19
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $5Yes $2