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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Newshound
Record (consensus markets)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)63% (1101–635, n=1736)57% (822–622, n=1444)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$4.6M$43K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #109was PM monthly #949
Sides with the consensus69% (9 of 13 open)67% (97 of 145 open)71% (68 of 96 open)36% (25 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%72% of 1034 at avg 60¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)22% (won 24% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)13% (won 65% of 135)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)18% (won 77% of 183)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)47% (won 95% of 487)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Newshound
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
Ugo Blanchet $3Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K——
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In
opposite sides · consensus maybe
maybe $38MASONIC $6——
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Cosme Rolland De Ravel $45KCosme Rolland De Ravel $6.4K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
Tomas Machac $11KTomas Machac $3.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $3.1K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Hornets $277Hornets $156——