Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)100% (12–0, n=12)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.1M$20K$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #10was PM monthly #939PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus70% (23 of 33 open)66% (120 of 181 open)no open consensus position73% (111 of 153 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports ±0 pts, n=10NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%90% of 10 at avg 90¢, ROI +5%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)0%13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)0%19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)0%23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)100% (won 90% of 10)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllndb1
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $33KCommanders $218——
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $33KJets $67——
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Lions $31KDolphins $168——
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $26KOver $5.2K——
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13K—No $7.4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $13KAdrian Mannarino $2.5K——
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
Liverpool FC $529Crystal Palace FC $14K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $8.8KBen Shelton $3.0K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Giants
Giants $26KGiants $735——
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $26KPatriots $42——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $21KBroncos $341——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $13K——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4.0KOver $390——
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $28—No $115
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
same side · consensus Prestige
Prestige $68Prestige $9——