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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ce1lvc9ew66ferrariChampions2026ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)80% (130–32, n=162)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL$18K-$8.8M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #87PM monthly #111PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)75% (36 of 48 open)71% (70 of 98 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=144—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won30% of 152 at avg 30¢, ROI +1%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 8% of 79)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 33% of 40)26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 73% of 26)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 7)30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketce1lvc9ew66ferrariChampions2026ndb1primm
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $2.0K—Cardinals $6.1K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $31—Texans $2.0K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $1.5K—Cardinals $247
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $85—Cardinals $1.6K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $41K—49ers $85K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
—Texans $41K—Texans $6.9K
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.9K—Under $1.2K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $530Under $1.6K——