PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brteBreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)48% (11712–12496, n=24208)50% (13213–13355, n=26568)
Consensus PnL—$12.1M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #945PM monthly #1Hand-pickedPM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus100% (16 of 16 open)70% (23 of 33 open)39% (18 of 46 open)57% (21 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2460)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5335)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢0%34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8653)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 8)20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7361)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbrteBreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $34K——
Sioux Falls: Aidan Mayo vs Hynek Barton
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Hynek Barton $6.7KAidan Mayo $191
Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Zverev
——Martin Landaluce $689Alexander Zverev $5.8K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0KYes $1.7K——
Curitiba: Justina Gonzalez vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Solana Sierra
——Justina Gonzalez $148Solana Sierra $235
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.9KYes $248K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9KNo $36K——
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
same side · consensus FURIA
——FURIA $19KFURIA $112
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus fnatic
——Astralis $5.0KAstralis $1.2K
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-27?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $2.9KYes $82
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus fnatic
——Astralis $1.9KAstralis $28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus FURIA
——FURIA $1.2KFURIA $252