Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Ethanael02FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (105–59, n=164)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)
Consensus PnL—-$5.9K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #687PM monthly #10PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position78% (116 of 149 open)56% (19 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +22 pts n=33, ROI +24%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=29, ROI +12%
  • NBA +26 pts n=12, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 85 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 93% of 28)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—59% (won 96% of 50)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Ethanael02FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
——Maxim Mrva $64Matteo Martineau $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
——Alisa Oktiabreva $966Angela Fita Boluda $15
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $281Ipek Oz $679
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
——Coleman Wong $3.6KColeman Wong $7.3K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
——Martha MATOULA $597Martha MATOULA $1.2K
Will Psim Yogyakarta win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $853No $881
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
——Nuria Brancaccio $38Nuria Brancaccio $1.3K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $427Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42
M25 Valencia: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
same side · consensus Svyatoslav Gulin
——Svyatoslav Gulin $88Svyatoslav Gulin $9