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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (228–146, n=374) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7K | $3.6M | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 52% (27 of 52 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 446 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 7% of 119) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 300) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $7.4K | Under $5.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Spread: TCU (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Arizona $5.8K | TCU $607 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $1.7K | Arizona $1.5K | — |
| Spread: TCU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Arizona $2.3K | TCU $750 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $1.0K | Arizona $2.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $1.2K | Arizona $872 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $750 | Yes $74 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) same side · consensus TCU | — | TCU $9.1K | TCU $792 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.6K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $834 | TCU $2.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |