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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkjhsadjoseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1000PM monthly #7PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (10 of 12 open)60% (35 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkjhsadjoseph00677primmRN1
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $4.0KBears $10K
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $2.0KBears $5.3K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $22KBuccaneers $17K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.2K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $1.8KBuccaneers $3.9K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $88Buccaneers $4.7K
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $3.5KBears $366
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $333Buccaneers $821