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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| appleperson | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (345–290, n=635) | 59% (40–28, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $403K | $532K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 54% (67 of 123 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $488 | Thunder $260K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $93K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $9.4K | Thunder $7.7K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8.3K | Warriors $3.9K |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus Team Falcons | — | Team Falcons $978 | Team Falcons $136K |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $326 | Gen.G $43K |