PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11RN1sainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1282, n=2634)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13370–13521, n=26891)
Consensus PnL$21K$13.4M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #627PM monthly #16 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus57% (24 of 42 open)33% (2 of 6 open)no open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2463)0%8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5333)50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8660)50% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7366)0%32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11RN1sainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $7Talia Gibson $2.2K—Talia Gibson $94
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $2Harriet Dart $6.9K——
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Merida Aguilar
Daniil Medvedev $23——Daniel Merida Aguilar $3.9K
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PARIVISION
Team Liquid $573——PARIVISION $109
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Pohang Steelers
—FC Pohang Steelers $80—FC Pohang Steelers $4.6K
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
same side · consensus Invictus Gaming
LYON $10——LYON $2.1K
Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska
same side · consensus Dayana Yastremska
Dayana Yastremska $8——Dayana Yastremska $849
Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $4——Robin Montgomery $23