PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Unit70RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)50% (11–11, n=22)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13370–13521, n=26891)
Consensus PnL$4.8K$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #615PM monthly #17 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (5 of 10 open)no open consensus position60% (21 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won48% of 21 at avg 33¢, ROI +18%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 11% of 9)10% (won 56% of 2463)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 78% of 9)22% (won 94% of 5333)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 67% of 3)36% (won 99% of 8660)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up0%31% (won 100% of 7366)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUnit70RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Talia Gibson $2.3K—Alexandra Eala $3.2K
Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $642—Over $71
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Harriet Dart $15K—Harriet Dart $324
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.3K—Over $2
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Pohang Steelers
—FC Pohang Steelers $246—FC Pohang Steelers $5.6K
Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $67—No $2.0K
Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $12—Yes $559