PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYearCORGIIRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)71% (5–2, n=7)62% (386–233, n=619)48% (12168–13017, n=25185)49% (839–863, n=1702)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$4.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #464PM monthly #78PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #143
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)no open consensus position58% (26 of 45 open)81% (13 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 795 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 56% of 2478)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 99% of 214)22% (won 94% of 5361)41% (won 99% of 325)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8705)49% (won 99% of 390)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7425)5% (won 100% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYearCORGIIRN1primm
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $598—Packers $9.4KPackers $1.2K
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Panthers
Panthers $532—Panthers $456Panthers $2.5K
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $909——Over $9.4K
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $52——Over $7.5K
Spread: Packers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $500——Packers $2.0K
Spread: Packers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $1.1KPackers $235
Panthers vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Packers $13KPackers $3.3K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Packers $12KPackers $313
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $560——Florida Atlantic $2.4K
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Panthers $5Panthers $66