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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MadridTime | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (725–703, n=1428) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$17K | $4.2M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #789 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (52 of 85 open) | 71% (25 of 35 open) | 63% (58 of 92 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 63) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 100% of 83) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 100% of 201) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MadridTime | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Chun-Hsin Tseng opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck | Carl Overbeck $4.8K | — | Chun-Hsin Tseng $26K | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8 | — | Over $26K | — |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $83 | — | No $20K | — |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3 | — | Over $4.0K | — |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $947 | — |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $17 | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $73 | — | No $1.4K | — |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $364 | — | Under $787 | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $30 | — | No $845 | — |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $706 | — | Over $46 | — |
| Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $88 | — | Yes $381 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $9 | — | No $431 | — |
| Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-26? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $13 | — | Yes $427 | — |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $15 | — | Under $320 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $239 | — | Over $1 | — |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | No $177 | — | Yes $24 | — |
| Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | No $134 | — |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | — | No $86 | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $48 | — | Over $10 | — |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10 | — | No $7 | — |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $9 | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller same side · consensus Alexandre Muller | Alexandre Muller $7.6K | — | Alexandre Muller $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Bayern München? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | No $1.8K | — |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | No $79 | — | No $2.7K | — |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $445 | — | Under $896 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | No $29 | — | No $918 | — |
| Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | No $463 | — | No $160 | — |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | No $151 | — | No $420 | — |
| Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $25 | — | Over $431 | — |
| Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | No $166 | — | No $218 | — |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $182 | — | Under $12 | — |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $35 | — | Under $58 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $18 | — | Under $41 | — |
| Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9 | — | Under $37 | — |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $32 | — | Under $10 | — |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $32 | — | Under $8 | — |
| Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | No $28 | — |
| Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $7 | — | Under $10 | — |