Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1soapbubbles
Record (consensus markets)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)50% (1103–1116, n=2219)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)74% (23–8, n=31)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #894
Sides with the consensus77% (119 of 154 open)no open consensus position59% (33 of 56 open)56% (10 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)18% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)71% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1soapbubbles
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $133—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
Alexandre Muller $1.3K—Alexandre Muller $4.8K—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $1.6K—Clippers $965—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $811—Quentin Halys $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $103—Clippers $240—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $249—Under $48—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116—Yes $161—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42—