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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpnigiri99pereira12VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)71% (2793–1168, n=3961)53% (527–466, n=993)67% (2–1, n=3)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$519K$643K$16K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #55PM monthly #891PM monthly #58
Sides with the consensus43% (53 of 124 open)53% (21 of 40 open)no open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564———
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%—100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)12% (won 40% of 83)—33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)23% (won 65% of 158)—0%
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)44% (won 77% of 300)—0%
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)20% (won 99% of 135)—67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpnigiri99pereira12VirIntrepidus
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Packers $2.5K—Vikings $7.0K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.0K—Lions $1.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.3K—Titans $5.1K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174——Chiefs $6.1K
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $1.6KOklahoma $507——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $303——Vikings $5.8K
Panthers vs. Saints
same side · consensus Panthers
Panthers $3.1KPanthers $223——
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $15——Cowboys $254
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $3——