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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1nehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)53% (5701–5137, n=10838)65% (870–459, n=1329)61% (4010–2608, n=6618)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M-$851K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #11PM monthly #630
Sides with the consensus71% (117 of 164 open)74% (25 of 34 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −10 pts, n=132Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 16% of 160)1% (won 20% of 92)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 40% of 253)25% (won 44% of 2260)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 57% of 310)40% (won 55% of 3534)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 544)34% (won 87% of 3004)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1nehcnehc
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $820KYes $65K