← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | nehcnehc | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5890–5273, n=11163) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | 61% (4012–2610, n=6622) | 50% (1075–1083, n=2158) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.2M | -$856K | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #635 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (146 of 207 open) | 78% (18 of 23 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Politics −7 pts, n=125 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 1% (won 20% of 92) | 5% (won 94% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 25% (won 44% of 2260) | 41% (won 99% of 392) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 40% (won 55% of 3534) | 49% (won 99% of 469) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 34% (won 87% of 3004) | 5% (won 100% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.